Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 314.620478 358.041980 406.948827 466.442920 537.300799 619.540911 723.015261
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 243.137886 296.724322 362.752643 451.308246 568.848946 722.254631 942.307733
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 204.730790 260.966565 334.312614 439.165749 588.937067 801.244480 1136.694494
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 186.288401 246.313862 328.485068 452.678829 642.129381 931.975061 1434.407427
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 169.038944 230.154441 317.157494 454.836321 676.847206 1039.757638 1723.466074
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 152.410915 212.473072 300.739156 445.819612 690.964415 1115.229932 1975.946521
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 141.071517 201.053588 291.880954 446.684384 720.423853 1221.815854 2319.007490
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 129.156795 187.416053 277.829844 436.647478 728.483807 1289.797942 2603.366124
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 120.514591 177.950995 269.248148 434.458231 749.932782 1387.694582 2988.711513
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 109.483035 163.691925 251.356275 413.458367 731.875518 1400.016148 3169.979889
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 106.752503 162.600462 255.273136 432.327685 795.514062 1603.180120 3935.311861
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 105.254034 163.351866 262.316191 457.859825 877.581011 1870.864980 5026.443633
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 99.749346 157.014495 256.519100 458.275691 906.916836 2022.525095 5856.573361
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 92.776067 147.629190 244.411834 444.624885 902.371469 2086.527882 6427.398308
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 86.731553 139.424153 233.746557 432.627115 899.620719 2155.159998 7064.099560
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 84.416189 137.676241 234.994427 445.892641 960.698546 2426.046021 8747.829745
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 80.956953 133.579125 231.344471 448.009074 994.157172 2625.425869 10295.387021
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 76.569674 127.464641 223.231633 439.161863 997.251165 2728.963022 11462.871974
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 73.576881 123.747878 219.560889 440.010416 1026.920354 2933.527043 13422.815494
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 69.730362 118.171054 211.699186 430.161219 1024.897989 3025.816017 14812.967238
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 66.923309 114.410844 207.269616 428.012770 1044.926460 3209.004538 17073.088730
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 62.584377 107.450401 195.728656 407.401562 1006.689916 3153.355091 17510.150969
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 62.082480 107.938266 199.834973 425.921878 1091.488904 3632.840564 23102.341999